Original-Research: Netfonds AG (von NuWays AG): BUY
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^ Original-Research: Netfonds AG - from NuWays AG Classification of NuWays AG to Netfonds AG Company Name: Netfonds AG ISIN: DE000A1MME74 Reason for the research: Update Recommendation: BUY from: 11.03.2024 Target price: 73.00 Target price on sight of: 12 Monaten Last rating change: Analyst: Frederik Jarchow Netfonds beat expectations // Strong FY23 prelims; chg Netfonds reported strong FY23 prelims beating our expectations. Further, the company provided a new guidance for FY24 that remained rather vague for the moment. In detail: Gross sales came in at EUR 197m (+12% yoy), clearly above our estimate of EUR 191m. Key driver were the business areas Wholesale and Regulatory & Technology business both showing yoy growth rates north of 10% mainly fuelled by AuA that grew by 11% to EUR 23.8bn (vs eNuW: EUR 23.2bn). Thanks to scale effects, material expenses should have declined relatively to sales to 80.4% (vs 80.9% in FY22) resulting in net sales of EUR 37.0m (3% yoy vs eNuW: EUR 36.1m). EBITDA stood at EUR 6.2m (-28% yoy, 85% qoq), also above estimates of EUR 5.7m, mainly the result of the sound topline development compensating for higher than anticipated OPEX of EUR 30.8m (4% yoy vs eNuW: EUR 30.4m). EBT came in at EUR 2.2m (9% yoy vs eNuW: EUR 1.7m) as a result of EUR 4.1m D&A and a financial result of EUR 0.1m. Overall, Q4 figures marked a strong finish of a sound FY23. On the back of EUR 23.8 bn AuC in FY23 as a starting point into FY24, paired with stock markets at all-time highs after two months, topline should continue to grow in FY24, even without new AuA inflows that we consider as very likely (eNuW: 8% to EUR 25.6bn). Even better, profitable AuM from the wealth management should grow even more dynamically (eNuW: 25% to EUR 4bn). Further, the finfire platform is seen to fuel consolidation of the insurance broker market that is in contrary to the investment adviser market, still highly fragmented. Thanks to finfire, the selling and managing of insurance products is much easier unlocking huge cross-selling potentials, as the already onboarded investment adviser can additionally offer a wide range of insurance products to its customers. Netfonds proprietary, 360° finfire platform hence remains the key mid- to long term growth and scalability driver. In order to reflect the strong FY23 figures, the bright market environment and the enormous (cross-selling) potential arising from finfire, we now expect for FY24 EUR 45m net sales and an EUR 12.5m EBITDA, in line with management guidance of net sales "well above EUR 40m" and "strong increase in EBITDA". BUY with a new PT of EUR 73.00 (old: EUR 71.00), based on DCF. You can download the research here: http://www.more-ir.de/d/29105.pdf For additional information visit our website www.nuways-ag.com/research. Contact for questions
Die Analyse oder weiterführende Informationen zu dieser können Sie hier downloaden: www.nuways-ag.com/research.
NuWays AG - Equity Research Web: www.nuways-ag.com Email: research@nuways-ag.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany ++++++++++
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